Includes bibliographical references (p. [237]-256) and index.

Be the house : process and outcome in investing -- Investing--profession or business? : thoughts on beating the market index -- The Babe Ruth effect : frequency versus magnitude in expected value -- Sound theory for the attribute weary : the importance of circumstance-based categorization -- Risky business : risk, uncertainty, and prediction in investing -- The hot hand in investing : what streaks tell us about perception, probability, and skill -- Time is on my side : myopic loss aversion and portfolio turnover -- Good morning, let the stress begin : linking stress to suboptimal portfolio management -- All I really need to know I learned at a Tupperware party : what Tupperware parties teach you about investing and life -- All systems go : emotion and intuition in decision making -- Guppy love : the role of imitation in markets -- Beware of behavioral finance : misuse of behavioral finance can lead to bad thinking -- Raising Keynes : long-term expectations, the El Farol bar, and kidding yourself -- The Wright stuff : why innovation is inevitable -- Pruned for performance : what brain development teaches us about innovation -- Staying ahead of the curve : linking creative destruction and expectations -- Is there a fly in your portfolio? : what an accelerating rate of industry change means for investors -- All the right moves : how to balance the long term with the short term -- Survival of the fittest : fitness landscapes and competitive advantage -- You'll meet a bad fate if you extrapolate : the folly of using average P/Es -- I've fallen and I can't get up : mean reversion and turnarounds -- Diversify your mind : thoughts on organizing for investing success -- From honey to money : the wisdom and whims of the collective -- Vox populi : using the collective to find, solve, and predict -- A tail of two worlds : fat tails and investing -- Integrating the outliers : two lessons from the St. Petersburg paradox -- The janitor's dream : why listening to individuals can be hazardous to your wealth -- Chasing Laplace's demon : the role of cause and effect in markets -- More power to you : power laws and what they mean for investors -- The pyramid of numbers : firm size, growth rates, and valuation -- The future of consilience in investing.