000			02609cam a22003734a 4500
001			2005012862
003			AE-DuAU
005			20241127170106.0
008			050504s2005 maua b 001 0 eng
010			_a 2005012862
020			_a1591396913 (hbk.): _c28.45
020			_a9781591396918 (hbk.)
040			_aDLC _cDLC _dBAKER _dC#P _dIXA _dVP@ _dNLGGC _dBTCTA _dYDXCP
042			_apcc
050	0	0	_aHB3730 _b.E55 2005
090			_aHB 3730 .E55 2005
100	1		_aEllis, Joseph _q(Joseph H.) _9109763
245	1	0	_aAhead of the curve : _ba commonsense guide to forecasting business and market cycles / _cJoseph H. Ellis.
260			_aBoston, MA : _bHarvard Business School Press, _cc2005.
300			_axxiii, 276 p. : _bill. ; _c25 cm.
336			_2rdacontent _atext _btxt
337			_2rdamedia _aunmediated _bn
338			_2rdacarrier _avolume _bnc
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 265-266) and index.
505	0		_a"Seeing" The Economy: Creating Order Out of Chaos -- Seeing Around Economic Corners -- Making Sense of the Economy -- Getting Out of Harm's Way: Redefining Economic Downturns -- Economic forecasting -- The "ROCET" Method: Antidote for the Recession Obsession -- Smart Economic Tracking: Getting the Noise Out -- The Nature of Leading Indicators -- Consumer Spending: Cornerstone of the Economy and Stock Market -- Consumer Spending: Powering the Demand Chain in the Economy -- Consumer Spending and the Stock Market -- Forecasting Consumer Spending -- Predicting the Consumer: Do It on the Numbers; Lose the Psychology -- Real Earnings: Powerhouse of the Economy -- Employment and Unemployment: The Economy's Deceptive Laggard -- Interest rates, The Fed's Mystique, and The Core Role of Inflation -- Interest Rates and the Stock Market: A Concerned Look Forward -- Federal Deficits and Interest Rates: There Is a Link -- From Theory to Practice -- "Drilling Down:" Forecasting For Your Own Industry or Company -- Conclusion: Making Economics Happen -- Credit: Consumer Spending's "Swing Factor" -- Charting Economic Cause and Effect: Does it Work Outside the U.S.? -- Major Industry Data Series -- www.AheadoftheCurvetheBook.com.
650		0	_aEconomic forecasting. _9109767
852			_9p28.45 _y03-18-2008
907			_a20653 _b08-12-10 _c08-06-10
942			_cBOOK _00
998			_aaudmc _b03-18-08 _cm _da _e- _feng _gmau _h0
935			_a28043
945			_g0 _i250475 _j0 _laudmc _nCopy Type:01 - Books _o- _p104.55 _q- _r- _s- _t1 _u0 _v0 _w0 _x0 _yi10274984 _z08-06-10
999			_c20653 _d20653